Using statistics available from the a web site you can download all the outcome day-by-day from practically any football league in the world. Then you can study the statistical analysis on the outcome for each league that you are enthusiastic about for the entire of the existing season to provide, as an example:-

% of matches under and over 2.5 goals.

% of matches with each quantity of goals from 0-7 % of matches with the ten most often observed scores, in descending order.

These details by itself can be quite useful, earlier this year I realized that there have been practically no games in the French League 1 with an increase of than 2.5 goals, so I was making money backing the unders on at about 1.8 on each game. Eventually, everyone noticed the target famine in France, and by Xmas the unders price had collapsed to about 1.5-1.6 for most games, not just that; more games were going over 2.5 goals. I made a fortune from the jawhorse from Sep-Dec, but gave up following the pro's moved in, and the value had gone.

The system in this section is dependant on another feature of the - its forecasting. You can make forthcoming games (in any league), and a % likelihood เว็บพนันบอลที่ดีที่สุด of each result is given. For instance, I'm taking a look at it today and because of this upcoming Man Utd v Arsenal game the prediction is:

Man Utd 60%, Draw 19%, Arsenal 21 %

These %ages can readily be changed into predicted decimal odds using the formula :- Odds = 100/%age.

So because of this game the predicted odds are Man Utd 100/60 = 1.66, Draw 100/19 = 5.26, Arsenal 100/21 = 4.76. The current odds on Betfair are Man Utd 2.2, Draw 3.3, Arsenal 3.95 Most of you could have guessed where that is heading by now!! The system will comprise 2 filters, firstly an outcome with a > 50% chance as calculated by the website and secondly the cost should be a lot more than 20% greater compared to predicted price. So, in this example Man Utd would be the pick (>50%), and the particular price is 2.2/1.66 = 1.32 times or 32% more compared to predicted price.

This is a good exemplory case of value betting, you are backing something with a higher than 50% possibility of winning at price a lot more than 20% greater compared to probability. In the example above, in old money you're getting 6/5 about a 4/6 shot. If you had one of these simple each day then soon you would have been a millionaire. I cannot think of every other exemplory case of where the predicted and actual odds may be compared this way with such mathematical precision.